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Iran’s Supreme Leader Killed — Regime Faces Collapse or Military Takeover?

Simultaneous U.S. and Israeli airstrikes hit Tehran at night, engulfing military compounds in massive fireballs. Three IRGC guards flee in panic as a shattered portrait of Ayatollah Khamenei lies on the rubble.

In the early hours of Saturday, joint U.S. and Israeli airstrikes hit Tehran’s key military and government sites. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Mohammad Pakpour, and Ali Shamkhani were killed, effectively cutting off Iran’s top leadership in one massive operation.

An infographic-style illustration of the IRGC's power, showing its headquarters, rows of soldiers in formation, economic assets like oil refineries, and a Quds Force operative monitoring proxy group maps.

The IRGC is not just an army but a 200,000-strong force acting like a parallel government. It controls Iran’s missile program, runs economic networks, and through the Quds Force, manages proxy groups like the Houthis.

A low-angle view of a Tehran street under lockdown, dominated by a police checkpoint. In the background, Basij paramilitaries hold a fervent pro-regime rally at a university gate as fearful civilians watch.

After the strikes on Saturday, Iran’s security forces moved fast. Police created checkpoints across Tehran, while the Basij held pro-regime rallies at universities, blocking anti-government protests during the crisis.

Inside an underground IRGC bunker, a senior commander points to a glowing "mosaic defense" map of Iran. Officers study documents, and portraits of leadership replacements hang on the concrete wall.

Iran’s leadership had planned for such an attack. The IRGC launched its mosaic defense strategy, letting regional commanders act independently. The regime also prepared 4 layers of leadership replacements to maintain control under attack.

A split panel contrasts a skeptical analyst watching Trump's social media call for peace with the harsh reality of armed Basij fighters controlling terrified civilians on a Tehran street corner.

President Trump asked the IRGC and police to merge peacefully with citizens. Analysts said this was unlikely. The IRGC remains highly radicalized, and without ground troops, removing the regime would be extremely difficult.

An ornate empty chair symbolizes Iran's power vacuum. Contenders Larijani and Ghalibaf stand flanking it, with a hesitant Hassan Khomeini in the background, all beneath a ghostly mural of Ayatollah Khomeini.

With Khamenei dead, Iran faces a dangerous power vacuum. Ali Larijani and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf lead the race, while Hassan Khomeini lacks influence. Experts warn more killings could shake the system, but otherwise military rule may rise.

A quick visual update that saves you 10 minutes of reading – Source: Wall Street Journal

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